Route reliability
Tampa (TPA) to Chicago (ORD): which airline is most on time?
On-time arrivals, cancellations and long delays for every airline that reported nonstop flights from Tampa, FL (TPA) to Chicago, IL (ORD), September 2025 to August 2026.
Tampa, FLChicago, IL
Route at a glance · September 2025 to August 2026
TPA to ORD
Tampa, FL to Chicago, IL
- On time
- 71.3%vs 75.6% U.S. average Worse than average
- Cancelled
- 1.5%vs 1.9% U.S. average Better than average
- 60+ min late
- 10.2%vs 8.1% U.S. average Worse than average
- Scheduled flights
- 3,171in 12 months7 airlines
- Most reliable airline
- United Airlines73.6% on time · 1,442 flights
On time less often than the U.S. average, with fewer cancellations.
Airlines on this route
Ranked by on-time arrival
| Airline | On time | Cancelled | 60+ min late | Avg delay when late | Diverted | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. United Airlines Most reliable | 73.6% | 0.6% | 9.0% | 79 min | 0.5% | 1,442 |
| 2. American Airlines | 71.8% | 1.9% | 10.7% | 92 min | 0.7% | 1,154 |
| 3. Southwest Airlines Small sample (under 300 flights) | 66.8% | 0.9% | 5.6% | 57 min | 0.9% | 214 |
| 4. Spirit Airlines Small sample (under 300 flights) | 63.2% | 4.1% | 15.5% | 86 min | 0.0% | 220 |
| 5. Frontier Airlines Small sample (under 300 flights) | 63.0% | 5.1% | 18.1% | 152 min | 0.7% | 138 |
| Envoy Air Operating carrier; sold as American Eagle | Insufficient sample (fewer than 50 flights) | 2 | ||||
| Republic Airways Operating carrier; sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection, United Express | Insufficient sample (fewer than 50 flights) | 1 | ||||
On time = arrived within 15 minutes of schedule. Avg delay when late = average arrival delay of flights 15+ minutes late. "Most reliable" needs at least 300 flights in 12 months. Tap a heading to sort.
What this means
United Airlines has the strongest record on this route.
- United Airlines had the best on-time record from Tampa (TPA) to Chicago (ORD): 73.6% of its 1,442 scheduled flights arrived within 15 minutes of schedule, compared with 71.8% for American Airlines. The gap is small, so treat the airlines as roughly equal on punctuality.
- Envoy Air, Republic Airways also flew this route but with fewer than 50 reported flights, too few to rate.
- 1.5% of flights on this route were cancelled (about 1 in 67), about the same as the U.S. average of 1.9%.
- 10.2% of flights, about 1 in 10, arrived an hour or more late. When a flight was late (15+ minutes), the average arrival delay was 86 min.
- Overall, 71.3% of flights on this route arrived on time, 4.3 points lower than the U.S. average of 75.6%.
- Over the last 3 years, September was the most reliable month on this route (86.1% on time) and July the least reliable (66.7%).
- Cancellations peaked in October, when 3.4% of flights were cancelled.
- Flights scheduled to depart 6 am to 7 am were the most punctual (90.4% on time); flights scheduled to depart 4 pm to 5 pm were the least (54.6%).
- In the other direction, Chicago (ORD) to Tampa (TPA), 71.6% of flights were on time and 1.5% were cancelled. Compare airlines ORD to TPA.
Best and worst months to fly TPA to ORD
Share of scheduled flights on time 12-month average 71.3%
Show as table
| Period | On time | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| January | 75.3% | 887 |
| February | 79.8% | 833 |
| March | 69.9% | 1,010 |
| April | 77.1% | 916 |
| May | 70.5% | 784 |
| June | 69.9% | 691 |
| July | 66.7% | 672 |
| August | 69.2% | 646 |
| September | 86.1% | 627 |
| October | 83.8% | 740 |
| November | 84.3% | 784 |
| December | 79.9% | 934 |
| Airline | Best month | Worst month |
|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | October (85.6%) | August (68.6%) |
| American Airlines | November (84.7%) | July (63.5%) |
| Southwest Airlines | February (88.6%) | May (56.5%) |
| Spirit Airlines | November (89.7%) | March (60.0%) |
Month by month, last 12 months
Share of scheduled flights on time U.S. average 75.6%
Show as table
| Period | On time | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | 88.8% | 205 |
| Oct 2025 | 82.6% | 236 |
| Nov 2025 | 71.9% | 281 |
| Dec 2025 | 69.3% | 335 |
| Jan 2026 | 65.0% | 300 |
| Feb 2026 | 70.9% | 285 |
| Mar 2026 | 59.5% | 341 |
| Apr 2026 | 74.0% | 315 |
| May 2026 | 70.4% | 250 |
| Jun 2026 | 72.6% | 212 |
| Jul 2026 | 74.4% | 215 |
| Aug 2026 | 65.3% | 196 |
Best and worst departure times
Share of scheduled flights on time
Show as table
| Period | On time | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| Departing before 6 am | Insufficient sample | 10 |
| Departing 6 am to 7 am | 90.4% | 249 |
| Departing 7 am to 8 am | 87.2% | 431 |
| Departing 8 am to 9 am | 88.3% | 120 |
| Departing 9 am to 10 am | 82.9% | 158 |
| Departing 10 am to 11 am | 72.5% | 51 |
| Departing 11 am to noon | 71.6% | 155 |
| Departing noon to 1 pm | 78.2% | 490 |
| Departing 1 pm to 2 pm | 72.6% | 201 |
| Departing 2 pm to 3 pm | 62.4% | 255 |
| Departing 3 pm to 4 pm | Insufficient sample | 28 |
| Departing 4 pm to 5 pm | 54.6% | 434 |
| Departing 5 pm to 6 pm | 52.9% | 51 |
| Departing 6 pm to 7 pm | 56.0% | 225 |
| Departing 7 pm to 8 pm | 57.2% | 271 |
| Departing 8 pm to 9 pm | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| Departing 9 pm to 10 pm | Insufficient sample | 22 |
| Departing 10 pm to 11 pm | Insufficient sample | 11 |
Sources & data dates
- Source
- U.S. DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Reporting Carrier On-Time Performance (1987-present)
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026 (12 months); month-of-year patterns September 2023 to August 2026
- Data through
- August 2026
- Processed
- 2026-11-03
- Scope
- Nonstop scheduled flights from Tampa, FL (TPA) to Chicago, IL (ORD), one direction. Airlines that report to the DOT only.
- Method
- Rates use all scheduled flights as the denominator; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Figures based on fewer than 50 scheduled flights are suppressed. Full methodology.